Explosive Growth Forecast in the Worldwide Deepfake Detection Market, as DPDP and Quantum Technologies Reshape Digital Trust

The global deepfake detection market- covering tools that identify AI-generated or synthetically manipulated videos, images, and audio—remains early-stage but is expanding at breakneck speed. Fuelled by the widespread availability of generative AI tools, deepfake incidents have surged at over 200% year-over-year, pushing businesses and governments toward urgent adoption of detection and verification technologies.

As deepfake threats escalate, the sector is witnessing a critical inflection point driven by two competing forces:
(1) An explosion of malicious synthetic media ("sewage technology"), and
(2) The emergence of quantum-enhanced detection systems capable of outperforming classical models.

Market analysis for November 2025–November 2026 indicates a steep trajectory: the global deepfake detection market is currently valued at USD 1.0 billion, with projections pointing toward USD 1.4–1.6 billion by late 2026. This represents a 42–48% CAGR, translating into an incremental USD 400–600 million expansion in just 12 months—outpacing even the 200% annual rise in deepfake incidents.

Key Growth Drivers

1. Deepfake Incident Explosion

● 179 incidents in Q1 2025 alone, surpassing all of 2024 by 19%.

● 8 million deepfake files projected globally by end-2025 (up from 500,000 in 2023—a 900% content growth).

● Deepfakes now account for:

• • 6.5% of all cyberattacks (a 2,137% jump since 2022).
  • 1 in 20 identity verification failures.
    ●Financial losses:
    • USD 200 million lost in Q1 2025 in North America.
    • U.S. generative-AI fraud projected to hit USD 40 billion by 2027 (32% CAGR).
      
      ●BFSI budgets toward verification and anti-fraud tools are increasing by 20–30%.
      
      

2. Rising Global Adoption & Regulatory Tailwinds

● By mid-2025, 49% of global businesses experienced audio/video deepfake attacks, up from 25.9% in 2024.

● Gartner predicts that by 2026, 30% of enterprises will consider standalone authentication unreliable without deepfake safeguards.

● Major regulatory pushes:

• • U.S. FDIC deepfake fraud guidelines (coming late-2025).
  • EU AI Act requirements for high-risk sectors.
  • India’s DPDP Act rollout, which increases security and compliance obligations for all data-processing entities.
    
    

3. Quantum Computing's Dual-Edged Impact

Quantum computing introduces new challenges and transformative advantages:

● Threat: Quantum-powered model training could produce deepfakes that are harder to detect, accelerating the 200% incident surge.

● Opportunity: Quantum ML tools like QT-CNNs and QSVMs are demonstrating:

• • 10–20% accuracy improvements in early pilots.
  • Up to 50% faster training through entanglement and superposition.
• By 2026, quantum-hybrid detection systems may secure 5–10% market share.

Sector-Wise Growth Outlook (2025–2026)

Total Market: USD 1.0B → USD 1.43–1.50B (2026)
Quantum pilots add an extra 5–10% uplift.

DPDP Act, Privacy Law, and the Role of Quantum-Native Cybersecurity (QNC)

India’s Digital Personal Data Protection (DPDP) Act focuses on security of currently collected personal data but does not yet fully address AI-generated synthetic identities, deepfake-based impersonations, or quantum-era threats.

For DPDP and global privacy frameworks to succeed, regulators and industry must extend compliance to include:

• AI-generated datasets
• Synthetic identity detection
• Quantum-safe storage
• Post-quantum communication channels

This is where Quantum-Native Cybersecurity (QNC), Quantum Key Distribution (QKD), and AI insights engines like ACE become essential.

QNC and QKD offer:

● Tamper-proof cryptographic channels

● Zero-trust identity verification

● Post-quantum secure storage of AI-generated risk intelligence

● Sector-wide hardware-level adoption via alliance-driven vendor ecosystems

Cost Impact on Industry

With DPDP compliance and quantum-driven cybersecurity integration, hardware and infrastructure costs will rise—but in a highly optimisable range.

 “The hardware infra cost can be optimised and may slightly increase also, but it will be up to 15–20%.”

This aligns with the Financial Express report predicting 10–30% cost escalation for DPDP readiness, while quantum-enabled systems can reduce long-term operational overhead through automation, keyless encryption, and high-efficiency data handling.

Risks & Opportunities Ahead

Risks

● Quantum-enhanced deepfakes could reduce classical detection accuracy by 20–30%.

● Supply-chain bottlenecks in NISQ-era devices may temporarily limit quantum adoption to 10% penetration.

● 900% growth in synthetic content increases verification burdens.

Opportunities

● Early-movers like Reality Defender and quantum-AI partnerships could capture 15–20% market share.

● Integration of post-quantum cryptography (e.g., Falcon, Dilithium) will secure 44% of the North American market.

● Platforms like FaceOff, with quantum-hybrid enhancements, could scale SOM from 2% to 5% in BFSI and public-sector opportunities.

Conclusion

The deepfake detection ecosystem is on a steep upward trajectory, projected to reach USD 1.4–1.6 billion by November 2026, powered by unprecedented incident growth and rapid quantum innovation.

With DPDP compliance, privacy laws, and quantum-native cybersecurity converging, the next 12 months will define the digital trust infrastructure for governments, enterprises, and critical sectors.

In this landscape, hybrid quantum-AI platforms—not just classical detection—will become the backbone of global identity verification and fraud prevention systems.