During a seven-month study in China, a ground-breaking AI-driven technology showed 70% accuracy in forecasting earthquakes up to a week in advance. The University of Texas (UT) in Austin researchers revealed that the AI accurately predicted the locations and intensities of 14 earthquakes within a 200-mile radius.
The AI-tool, however, missed one earthquake and gave eight false warnings.
The outcome of the AI experiment in earthquake prediction was a weekly forecast in which the AI successfully predicted 14 earthquakes within about 200 miles, or 320 kilometres, of where it estimated they would happen and at almost exactly the calculated strength.
The AI was trained to detect statistical bumps in real-time seismic data that researchers had paired with previous earthquakes, they said, adding that the method follows a relatively simple machine learning approach. Their study is published in the journal Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America.
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